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14.6.12

Romney will win

Just for fun, here's my prediction for the 2012 US Presidential election. I'm expecting a 295-243 Romney win. Depending on the timing and severity of Europe's economic implosion, I could also see Romney taking Pennsylvania, Michigan, Oregon, and/or Nevada. On the other hand, the only state I'm calling for Romney that I could see flipping in a best-case scenario for Obama is New Hampshire.

Electoral map of US showing Obama (blue) winning HI, WA, OR, CA, NV, NM, MN, IL, PA, NJ, MD, DC, DE, NY, CT, RI, MA, VT, and ME, with the Republican (red) winning the rest.
(click to embiggen)

5 Comments:

Blogger fancycwabs said...

Will you be voting Green Party?

6:32 AM  
Blogger Bill Baar said...

Michigan looks in play for Romney too. I suspect Minnesota might be too.

7:35 AM  
Blogger Joel Monka said...

I predicted in 2010 that president Obama will be reelected, and I stand by that now.

1:43 PM  
Blogger Robin Edgar said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

11:48 AM  
Blogger Stentor said...

fancycwabs: I haven't looked into who they nominated this year, but I might.

Joel: I was expecting an Obama reelection in 2010 too, but that's because I thought the economy might actually recover over the intervening two years.

8:19 AM  

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